New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

202.29 – 304.83

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

218 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 333.1 ±10.4

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 28.83Rank 50Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 75.36Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 98.1Rank 35Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.3 ±10.4

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 96.32Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 55.36Rank 40Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 153.15Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8708, 58, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8708, 58, 230

Auto

14.3 7%

Teleop

105.1 52%

Endgame

82.0 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8709, 4905, 78

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8709, 4905, 78

Auto

72.2 24%

Teleop

148.5 50%

Endgame

78.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score202.3pts

Blue projected score304.8pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.5
Score range: 141–366
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 502 vs event baseline 340.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

333.1Season APEX565.3

14.3Auto72.2

105.1Teleop148.5

82Endgame78.8

99Consistency124

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	39
teleop	104	133
endgame	70	112
foul	0	0
total	218	284

Result

Final score

218 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.