Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
576.03 – 592.97
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
359 – 544
Prediction correct · off by 133 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 755 ±8.8
Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 69.57Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 199.22Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 307.24Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 804.2 ±8.1
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 50.65Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 243.05Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 299.27Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1729, 195, 125
87
/ 100 compatProjected
576 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1729, 195, 125
Auto
125.7 22%
Teleop
313.0 56%
Endgame
123.1 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 36%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9644, 1768, 5687
84
/ 100 compatProjected
593 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 9644, 1768, 5687
Auto
126.3 22%
Teleop
327.5 57%
Endgame
123.4 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 36%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.86 · Blue 2.09
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score576pts
Blue projected score593pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample232alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 39%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -16.9
- Score range
- 511–658
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
755Season APEX804.2
125.7Auto126.3
313Teleop327.5
123.1Endgame123.4
101Consistency53
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 55 | 77 |
| teleop | 143 | 301 |
| endgame | 141 | 161 |
| foul | 20 | 5 |
| total | 359 | 544 |
Result
Final score
359 – 544
Prediction correct · off by 133 pts
Match videos
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