Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
572.73 – 605.23
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
593 – 504
Prediction missed · off by 60.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 755 ±8.8
Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 68.07Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 198.39Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 306.27Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 804.2 ±8.1
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 55.31Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 246.71Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 303.21Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1729, 195, 125
88
/ 100 compatProjected
572.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1729, 195, 125
Auto
124.7 22%
Teleop
312.4 55%
Endgame
126.6 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 36%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9644, 1768, 5687
83
/ 100 compatProjected
605.2 pts
~2.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 9644, 1768, 5687
Auto
136.4 23%
Teleop
341.9 58%
Endgame
112.8 19%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 36%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.76 · Blue 2.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score572.7pts
Blue projected score605.2pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample232alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 39%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -32.5
- Score range
- 509–669
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
755Season APEX804.2
124.7Auto136.4
312.4Teleop341.9
126.6Endgame112.8
106Consistency48
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 128 | 52 |
| teleop | 311 | 222 |
| endgame | 104 | 200 |
| foul | 50 | 30 |
| total | 593 | 504 |
Result
Final score
593 – 504
Prediction missed · off by 60.8 pts
Match videos
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