Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
52.21 – 52.21
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
72 – 196
Prediction missed · off by 81.8 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 305.5 ±16.3
Season APEX 104.5Event APEX -Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 115Event APEX -Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 86Event APEX -Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333 ±14.1
Season APEX 179.4Event APEX -Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.9Event APEX -Rank 14Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 64.7Event APEX -Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4198, 6146, 4480
50
/ 100 compatProjected
52.2 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 4198, 6146, 4480
Auto
15.7 30%
Teleop
26.1 50%
Endgame
10.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7257, 7235, 3134
50
/ 100 compatProjected
52.2 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 7257, 7235, 3134
Auto
15.7 30%
Teleop
26.1 50%
Endgame
10.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score52.2pts
Blue projected score52.2pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 33–71
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
305.5Season APEX333
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 34 |
| teleop | 42 | 91 |
| endgame | 15 | 41 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 72 | 196 |
Result
Final score
72 – 196
Prediction missed · off by 81.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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