Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

289.44 – 48.01

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

283 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 4.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.7 ±11.7

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 83.46Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

876Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 167.8Event APEX 74.81Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7257Semiconductors

Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 131.17Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.1 ±18.2

5929Raider Robotics

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 16.42Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7068Mechanical Masterminds

Season APEX 81Event APEX 25.56Rank 51Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3300Midwest WARRIORS

Provisional

Season APEX 45Event APEX 6.03Rank 48Record 1-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3277, 876, 7257

/ 100 compat

Projected

289.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3277, 876, 7257

Auto

43.0 15%

Teleop

145.3 52%

Endgame

89.2 32%

Strengths

· 7257 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5929, 7068, 3300

/ 100 compat

Projected

48 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5929, 7068, 3300

Auto

3.4 7%

Teleop

15.8 34%

Endgame

27.1 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score289.4pts

Blue projected score48pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 241.4
Score range: 23–314
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 139.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507.7Season APEX198.1

43Auto3.4

145.3Teleop15.8

89.2Endgame27.1

72Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	10
teleop	173	20
endgame	68	20
foul	0	0
total	283	50

Result

Final score

283 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 4.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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