Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.55 – 70.87

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 5.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.8 ±14.5

2450Wind Chill

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 3.5Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4480UC-Botics

Season APEX 86Event APEX 24.21Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

4226Huskies

Season APEX 89.4Event APEX 61.84Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234 ±18.2

6749tERAbytes

Provisional

Season APEX 73.9Event APEX 29.95Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3278Electric Lakers

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 27.17Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7677Bodacious Bulldogs

Season APEX 72.4Event APEX 13.75Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2450, 4480, 4226

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.6 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2450, 4480, 4226

Auto

25.8 30%

Teleop

33.6 39%

Endgame

27.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6749, 3278, 7677

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6749, 3278, 7677

Auto

12.0 17%

Teleop

41.8 60%

Endgame

15.9 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.6pts

Blue projected score70.9pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.7
Score range: 46–115
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 151 vs event baseline 139.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.8Season APEX234

25.8Auto12

33.6Teleop41.8

27.8Endgame15.9

49Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	29
teleop	26	14
endgame	23	29
foul	15	0
total	79	72

Result

Final score

79 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 5.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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