Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
84.49 – 133.27
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
81 – 150
Prediction correct · off by 10.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.9 ±15
Season APEX 63.2Event APEX 21.25Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 88Event APEX 37.74Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 25.5Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 18.84Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 88.9Event APEX 21.1Rank 14Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 126.9Event APEX 93.33Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6628, 3313, 3275
47
/ 100 compatProjected
84.5 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 6628, 3313, 3275
Auto
23.4 33%
Teleop
31.8 45%
Endgame
16.1 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 7048, 7235, 6175
59
/ 100 compatProjected
133.3 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 7048, 7235, 6175
Auto
20.9 16%
Teleop
76.4 57%
Endgame
36.4 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score84.5pts
Blue projected score133.3pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -48.8
- Score range
- 59–158
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
227.9Season APEX295.1
23.4Auto20.9
31.8Teleop76.4
16.1Endgame36.4
69Consistency14
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 39 |
| teleop | 44 | 83 |
| endgame | 12 | 28 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 81 | 150 |
Result
Final score
81 – 150
Prediction correct · off by 10.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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