Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.49133.27

35%65%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81150

Prediction correct · off by 10.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.9 ±15
Season APEX 63.2Event APEX 21.25Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 88Event APEX 37.74Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 25.5Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 18.84Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 88.9Event APEX 21.1Rank 14Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 126.9Event APEX 93.33Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6628, 3313, 3275
47
/ 100 compat
Projected
84.5 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 6628, 3313, 3275
Auto
23.4 33%
Teleop
31.8 45%
Endgame
16.1 23%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 7048, 7235, 6175
59
/ 100 compat
Projected
133.3 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 7048, 7235, 6175
Auto
20.9 16%
Teleop
76.4 57%
Endgame
36.4 27%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score84.5pts
Blue projected score133.3pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-48.8
Score range
59158
Upset likelihood
35%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 139.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.9Season APEX295.1
23.4Auto20.9
31.8Teleop76.4
16.1Endgame36.4
69Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2039
teleop4483
endgame1228
foul50
total81150

Result

Final score

81150

Prediction correct · off by 10.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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