Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

155.79 – 88.02

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

186 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.3 ±13.9

2654Polar Rams

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 86.53Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4226Huskies

Season APEX 89.4Event APEX 56.42Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5929Raider Robotics

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 12.84Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215.2 ±20.5

6709S.P.U.D. INC

Season APEX 86.6Event APEX 51.18Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9745Lazer Sharkz

Provisional

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 13.89Rank 47Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6453Bog Bots!

Provisional

Season APEX 72.8Event APEX 22.95Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2654, 4226, 5929

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.8 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2654, 4226, 5929

Auto

24.8 16%

Teleop

84.5 55%

Endgame

44.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6709, 9745, 6453

/ 100 compat

Projected

88 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6709, 9745, 6453

Auto

6.8 8%

Teleop

46.2 57%

Endgame

28.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score155.8pts

Blue projected score88pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.8
Score range: 63–181
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 138.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

284.3Season APEX215.2

24.8Auto6.8

84.5Teleop46.2

44.1Endgame28.4

48Consistency127

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	24
teleop	91	55
endgame	50	47
foul	0	5
total	186	131

Result

Final score

186 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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