Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.03 – 92.21

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323.8 ±15

876Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 167.8Event APEX 73.2Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3134The Accelerators

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 16.72Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8878ArrowBot

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 9.11Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.7 ±17.7

4181Quack Attack

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 56.38Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10173Minot Syber-Sentinels

Season APEX 52Event APEX -3.32Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6749tERAbytes

Provisional

Season APEX 73.9Event APEX 39.15Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 876, 3134, 8878

/ 100 compat

Projected

99 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 876, 3134, 8878

Auto

29.3 32%

Teleop

41.3 45%

Endgame

20.5 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4181, 10173, 6749

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.2 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4181, 10173, 6749

Auto

30.6 36%

Teleop

33.9 40%

Endgame

19.7 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score99pts

Blue projected score92.2pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.8
Score range: 67–124
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 139.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323.8Season APEX213.7

29.3Auto30.6

41.3Teleop33.9

20.5Endgame19.7

57Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	14
teleop	55	38
endgame	40	7
foul	15	0
total	141	59

Result

Final score

141 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.