Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

186.76 – 98.37

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 434.3 ±12.7

8255Robodogs

Season APEX 149.8Event APEX 91.26Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 77.29Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7048Red River Rage

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 18.21Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.4 ±16.8

4198RoboCats

Season APEX 104.5Event APEX 4.44Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8586Firebirds Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 25.87Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3293OtterBots

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 68.06Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8255, 4607, 7048

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8255, 4607, 7048

Auto

40.4 21%

Teleop

96.8 51%

Endgame

52.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4198, 8586, 3293

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4198, 8586, 3293

Auto

30.7 30%

Teleop

46.0 45%

Endgame

24.6 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score186.8pts

Blue projected score98.4pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.4
Score range: 73–212
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 326 vs event baseline 138.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

434.3Season APEX328.4

40.4Auto30.7

96.8Teleop46

52Endgame24.6

25Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	18
teleop	114	59
endgame	25	35
foul	0	5
total	209	117

Result

Final score

209 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.