Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.87 – 148.84

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 29 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 246.9 ±17.2

6175EVW Mystery Machine

Season APEX 126.9Event APEX 101.08Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

877Pi Rho 'botics @ North Star

Provisional

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 10.65Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5464Bluejacket Robotics

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 9.14Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405.3 ±13.5

3276TOOLCATS

Season APEX 231Event APEX 109.4Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4539KAOTIC Robotics

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 42.09Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2450Wind Chill

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -2.65Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6175, 877, 5464

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6175, 877, 5464

Auto

31.0 26%

Teleop

62.8 53%

Endgame

24.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3276, 4539, 2450

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3276, 4539, 2450

Auto

33.8 23%

Teleop

87.1 58%

Endgame

28.3 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120.9pts

Blue projected score148.8pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28
Score range: 96–174
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 138.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

246.9Season APEX405.3

31Auto33.8

62.8Teleop87.1

24Endgame28.3

70Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	33
teleop	44	105
endgame	28	26
foul	0	10
total	88	174

Result

Final score

88 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 29 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.