Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

155.23 – 60.85

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

98 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 38 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 395.9 ±12.9

7048Red River Rage

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 22.03Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 106.2Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3278Electric Lakers

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 27Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±20.5

877Pi Rho 'botics @ North Star

Provisional

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 5.62Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6453Bog Bots!

Provisional

Season APEX 72.8Event APEX 28.44Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4239WARPSPEED

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 26.79Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7048, 4593, 3278

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.2 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7048, 4593, 3278

Auto

34.9 22%

Teleop

86.3 54%

Endgame

37.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 877, 6453, 4239

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.9 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 877, 6453, 4239

Auto

16.2 26%

Teleop

29.6 47%

Endgame

16.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.07 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score155.2pts

Blue projected score60.9pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.4
Score range: 33–183
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 154.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

395.9Season APEX184.3

34.9Auto16.2

86.3Teleop29.6

37.5Endgame16.8

28Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	15
teleop	72	17
endgame	21	10
foul	0	0
total	98	42

Result

Final score

98 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 38 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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