Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.57 – 17.04

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.1 ±16.8

8188Grand Force

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX -15.22Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5929Raider Robotics

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX -0.28Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5638JukeBots

Season APEX 102.4Event APEX 80.07Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.4 ±15

6628KMS BOTKICKERS

Season APEX 63.2Event APEX 18.86Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

2450Wind Chill

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -4.4Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5464Bluejacket Robotics

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 2.58Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8188, 5929, 5638

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.6 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 8188, 5929, 5638

Auto

7.3 11%

Teleop

40.5 62%

Endgame

17.1 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6628, 2450, 5464

/ 100 compat

Projected

17 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6628, 2450, 5464

Auto

21.3 100%

Teleop

-8.4 0%

Endgame

-4.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score64.6pts

Blue projected score17pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.5
Score range: -8–90
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 171 vs event baseline 139.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.1Season APEX197.4

7.3Auto21.3

40.5Teleop-8.4

17.1Endgame-4.7

129Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	12
teleop	62	20
endgame	24	15
foul	15	5
total	119	52

Result

Final score

119 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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