Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.38 – 216.72

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.9 ±17.7

877Pi Rho 'botics @ North Star

Provisional

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 7.15Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4181Quack Attack

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 62.58Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7235Red Lake Ogichidaag

Season APEX 88.9Event APEX 14.65Rank 14Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.9 ±12.1

3293OtterBots

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 66.44Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4226Huskies

Season APEX 89.4Event APEX 54.92Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5653Iron Mosquitos

Season APEX 190.4Event APEX 95.36Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 877, 4181, 7235

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 877, 4181, 7235

Auto

29.2 38%

Teleop

22.7 29%

Endgame

25.6 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3293, 4226, 5653

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.7 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3293, 4226, 5653

Auto

45.0 21%

Teleop

104.7 50%

Endgame

60.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score84.4pts

Blue projected score216.7pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -132.3
Score range: 59–242
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 360 vs event baseline 138.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.9Season APEX447.9

29.2Auto45

22.7Teleop104.7

25.6Endgame60.9

33Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	59
teleop	55	123
endgame	27	65
foul	0	5
total	108	252

Result

Final score

108 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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