Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.88 – 159.53

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.6 ±14.1

3134The Accelerators

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 18.85Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7677Bodacious Bulldogs

Season APEX 72.4Event APEX 23.54Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 83.49Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.8 ±16.3

877Pi Rho 'botics @ North Star

Provisional

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 1.47Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5653Iron Mosquitos

Season APEX 190.4Event APEX 83.28Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 74.78Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3134, 7677, 7028

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3134, 7677, 7028

Auto

29.9 25%

Teleop

83.4 69%

Endgame

7.7 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 877, 5653, 4607

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.5 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 877, 5653, 4607

Auto

46.8 28%

Teleop

81.2 49%

Endgame

38.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score125.9pts

Blue projected score159.5pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.7
Score range: 102–184
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 134.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.6Season APEX447.8

29.9Auto46.8

83.4Teleop81.2

7.7Endgame38.8

82Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	54
teleop	33	105
endgame	34	44
foul	0	15
total	79	218

Result

Final score

79 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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