Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.62 – 171.27

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

153 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 73.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.8 ±12.9

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 85.92Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7048Red River Rage

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 19.28Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10173Minot Syber-Sentinels

Season APEX 52Event APEX -9.58Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.3 ±14.4

5638JukeBots

Season APEX 102.4Event APEX 73.34Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

4226Huskies

Season APEX 89.4Event APEX 28.42Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 69.51Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1710, 7048, 10173

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1710, 7048, 10173

Auto

22.1 26%

Teleop

44.7 52%

Endgame

18.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5638, 4226, 3277

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.3 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5638, 4226, 3277

Auto

11.6 7%

Teleop

103.8 61%

Endgame

53.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score95.6pts

Blue projected score171.3pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.6
Score range: 72–195
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 414 vs event baseline 131.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.8Season APEX352.3

22.1Auto11.6

44.7Teleop103.8

18.6Endgame53.8

72Consistency125

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	34
teleop	51	143
endgame	42	84
foul	10	0
total	153	261

Result

Final score

153 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 73.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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