Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.49 – 36.03

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

121 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.2 ±14.1

10173Minot Syber-Sentinels

Season APEX 52Event APEX -12.84Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3134The Accelerators

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 20.53Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 68.8Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266 ±15.6

4360Spudnik

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 41.17Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8188Grand Force

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX -21.31Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3023STARK Industries

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 16.17Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10173, 3134, 3277

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10173, 3134, 3277

Auto

10.5 13%

Teleop

38.7 50%

Endgame

28.7 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4360, 8188, 3023

/ 100 compat

Projected

36 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4360, 8188, 3023

Auto

15.3 38%

Teleop

17.7 44%

Endgame

7.2 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score76.5pts

Blue projected score36pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.5
Score range: 12–100
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 132.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.2Season APEX266

10.5Auto15.3

38.7Teleop17.7

28.7Endgame7.2

100Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	19
teleop	49	28
endgame	18	18
foul	20	10
total	121	75

Result

Final score

121 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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