Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
259.69 – 72.83
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
330 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 59.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 613.5 ±11
Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 102.65Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 61.97Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 95.07Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.9 ±15
Season APEX 126.9Event APEX 74.77Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52Event APEX -18.11Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 86Event APEX 16.17Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7257, 4607, 4593
85
/ 100 compatProjected
259.7 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 7257, 4607, 4593
Auto
46.2 19%
Teleop
152.9 62%
Endgame
45.6 19%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 6175, 10173, 4480
43
/ 100 compatProjected
72.8 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 6175, 10173, 4480
Auto
9.2 13%
Teleop
27.4 38%
Endgame
35.1 49%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score259.7pts
Blue projected score72.8pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 186.9
- Score range
- 50–283
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
613.5Season APEX264.9
46.2Auto9.2
152.9Teleop27.4
45.6Endgame35.1
116Consistency146
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 66 | 26 |
| teleop | 173 | 66 |
| endgame | 91 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 330 | 122 |
Result
Final score
330 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 59.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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