Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.04 – 112.86

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.9 ±15

3134The Accelerators

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 56.15Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3275The Regulators

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 23.7Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4198RoboCats

Season APEX 104.5Event APEX 9.19Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325 ±13.3

5464Bluejacket Robotics

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX -3.14Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

876Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 167.8Event APEX 60.57Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4226Huskies

Season APEX 89.4Event APEX 55.43Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3134, 3275, 4198

/ 100 compat

Projected

89 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3134, 3275, 4198

Auto

4.4 5%

Teleop

60.7 75%

Endgame

16.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5464, 876, 4226

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5464, 876, 4226

Auto

25.4 23%

Teleop

60.1 53%

Endgame

26.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89pts

Blue projected score112.9pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.8
Score range: 66–136
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 180 vs event baseline 127.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.9Season APEX325

4.4Auto25.4

60.7Teleop60.1

16Endgame26.9

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	31
teleop	15	54
endgame	17	36
foul	0	10
total	49	131

Result

Final score

49 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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