Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

244.52 – 258.42

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 88.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 534.9 ±11.7

4539KAOTIC Robotics

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 46.17Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 81.93Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 116.42Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.7 ±11

7048Red River Rage

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 21.96Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3276TOOLCATS

Season APEX 231Event APEX 107.62Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7257Semiconductors

Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 128.84Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4539, 3277, 1710

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.5 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4539, 3277, 1710

Auto

56.5 23%

Teleop

132.0 54%

Endgame

54.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7048, 3276, 7257

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7048, 3276, 7257

Auto

48.7 19%

Teleop

138.2 55%

Endgame

66.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score244.5pts

Blue projected score258.4pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.9
Score range: 218–285
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 152.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

534.9Season APEX489.7

56.5Auto48.7

132Teleop138.2

54.9Endgame66.6

60Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	54
teleop	44	156
endgame	13	100
foul	5	20
total	139	330

Result

Final score

139 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 88.6 pts

Match videos

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