Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.02 – 152.54

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.5 ±10.4

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 36.06Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 34.83Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 14.13Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.7 ±11

5160Chargers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 62.54Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 21.5Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 68.5Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11179, 6888, 10248

/ 100 compat

Projected

85 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11179, 6888, 10248

Auto

18.2 21%

Teleop

46.6 55%

Endgame

20.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5160, 6908, 6500

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5160, 6908, 6500

Auto

23.6 16%

Teleop

87.4 60%

Endgame

35.0 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85pts

Blue projected score152.5pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.5
Score range: 65–173
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 110.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.5Season APEX226.7

18.2Auto23.6

46.6Teleop87.4

20.4Endgame35

60Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	14
teleop	31	106
endgame	26	57
foul	5	5
total	85	182

Result

Final score

85 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts

Match videos

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