Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

447.07 – 89.11

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

520 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.4 ±8.8

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 188.83Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10121TMSA MechaTiger

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 20.42Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 237.82Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.8 ±10.4

10077The H.E.I.S.T.

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 26.66Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10302Byte Force

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 41.93Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 20.52Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9032, 10121, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

447.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9032, 10121, 9496

Auto

80.4 18%

Teleop

267.9 61%

Endgame

93.4 21%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10077, 10302, 8746

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10077, 10302, 8746

Auto

18.7 21%

Teleop

49.7 56%

Endgame

20.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score447.1pts

Blue projected score89.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 358
Score range: 69–467
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 576 vs event baseline 109.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.4Season APEX149.8

80.4Auto18.7

267.9Teleop49.7

93.4Endgame20.4

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	22
teleop	280	30
endgame	134	4
foul	0	0
total	520	56

Result

Final score

520 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Match videos

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