Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
164.08 – 94.34
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
225 – 114
Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.7 ±11
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 65.22Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 25.96Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 72.9Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 39.33Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 38.87Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 16.14Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5160, 6908, 6500
78
/ 100 compatProjected
164.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5160, 6908, 6500
Auto
23.9 15%
Teleop
94.0 59%
Endgame
41.1 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11179, 6888, 10248
57
/ 100 compatProjected
94.3 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 11179, 6888, 10248
Auto
20.5 22%
Teleop
47.8 51%
Endgame
24.9 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score164.1pts
Blue projected score94.3pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 11%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 69.7
- Score range
- 74–184
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
226.7Season APEX147.5
23.9Auto20.5
94Teleop47.8
41.1Endgame24.9
0Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 24 |
| teleop | 127 | 63 |
| endgame | 54 | 27 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 225 | 114 |
Result
Final score
225 – 114
Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts
Match videos
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