Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

88.48 – 72.67

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

136 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.5 ±10.4

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 37.29Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 36.82Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 14.37Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.1 ±10.5

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 29.13Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5511Cortechs Robotics

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 12.8Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8205Mind Over Metal

Season APEX 56Event APEX 30.74Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11179, 6888, 10248

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11179, 6888, 10248

Auto

19.4 22%

Teleop

44.9 52%

Endgame

22.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6004, 5511, 8205

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6004, 5511, 8205

Auto

16.7 24%

Teleop

36.9 54%

Endgame

15.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.5pts

Blue projected score72.7pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.8
Score range: 53–108
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 112.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.5Season APEX149.1

19.4Auto16.7

44.9Teleop36.9

22.8Endgame15.1

60Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	23
teleop	68	42
endgame	40	20
foul	0	15
total	136	100

Result

Final score

136 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.