Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 119.79
18%82%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
58 – 145
Prediction correct · off by 41.6 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 197 ±9.8
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 26.5Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.1Event APEX -16.96Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.6Event APEX -13.73Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.2 ±12.4
Season APEX 265Event APEX 91.02Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 11.74Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 17.03Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6888, 8738, 6004
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-4.2 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6888, 8738, 6004
Auto
4.2 0%
Teleop
-3.5 42%
Endgame
-9.0 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9032, 7443, 10260
79
/ 100 compatProjected
119.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9032, 7443, 10260
Auto
30.3 26%
Teleop
66.8 57%
Endgame
21.1 18%
Strengths
- · 9032 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 1.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-4.2pts
Blue projected score119.8pts
Red win probability18%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 22%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -119.8
- Score range
- -17–137
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
197Season APEX336.2
4.2Auto30.3
-3.5Teleop66.8
-9Endgame21.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 41 |
| teleop | 30 | 90 |
| endgame | 12 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 58 | 145 |
Result
Final score
58 – 145
Prediction correct · off by 41.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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