Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

54.47 – 21.58

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

74 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 10 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 107.4 ±12.2

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 15.46Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 29.04Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 9.97Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 107.9 ±12.2

7443Jag-Wires

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX -19.26Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3893K-T Extinction

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 10.21Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 30.63Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6908, 5518, 10248

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6908, 5518, 10248

Auto

17.2 37%

Teleop

23.3 50%

Endgame

6.5 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7443, 3893, 6888

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7443, 3893, 6888

Auto

11.2 49%

Teleop

9.2 40%

Endgame

2.4 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.5pts

Blue projected score21.6pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.9
Score range: 2–74
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 108.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

107.4Season APEX107.9

17.2Auto11.2

23.3Teleop9.2

6.5Endgame2.4

65Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	7
teleop	40	4
endgame	14	11
foul	0	0
total	74	22

Result

Final score

74 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 10 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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