Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
74.56 – 66
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
105 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 27.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 21.04Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 18.8Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 34.72Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 17.02Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 27.35Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 21.63Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6242, 8746, 10302
47
/ 100 compatProjected
74.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6242, 8746, 10302
Auto
20.5 27%
Teleop
28.9 38%
Endgame
26.5 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11161, 5607, 10121
43
/ 100 compatProjected
66 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 11161, 5607, 10121
Auto
19.8 36%
Teleop
20.6 38%
Endgame
14.5 26%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score74.6pts
Blue projected score66pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 17%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 8.6
- Score range
- 47–94
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
141.2Season APEX136.3
20.5Auto19.8
28.9Teleop20.6
26.5Endgame14.5
51Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 11 |
| teleop | 57 | 56 |
| endgame | 25 | 24 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 105 | 91 |
Result
Final score
105 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 27.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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