Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.28 – 33.2

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.2 ±11.7

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 25.66Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 62.12Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 25.5Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 109.7 ±11.7

10260RoboJags

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 1.1Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 5.7Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 26.4Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11179, 6500, 5518

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11179, 6500, 5518

Auto

20.9 19%

Teleop

61.6 57%

Endgame

26.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10260, 10248, 6888

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10260, 10248, 6888

Auto

20.2 65%

Teleop

8.5 27%

Endgame

2.6 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.3pts

Blue projected score33.2pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.1
Score range: 14–132
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 107.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

247.2Season APEX109.7

20.9Auto20.2

61.6Teleop8.5

26.5Endgame2.6

0Consistency100

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	18
teleop	105	60
endgame	53	0
foul	0	5
total	168	83

Result

Final score

168 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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