Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58 – 80.65

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.2 ±12.8

6242Chaos Theory

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 24.7Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9296TITANium

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 14.83Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8738Slice

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 18.47Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.8 ±10.5

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 29.69Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5190Falcon Fury

Season APEX 32.5Event APEX 11.12Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 39.84Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6242, 9296, 8738

/ 100 compat

Projected

58 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6242, 9296, 8738

Auto

15.8 27%

Teleop

25.5 44%

Endgame

16.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6004, 5190, 11179

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6004, 5190, 11179

Auto

21.3 27%

Teleop

34.1 44%

Endgame

22.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58pts

Blue projected score80.7pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.7
Score range: 37–102
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 99 vs event baseline 117.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.2Season APEX173.8

15.8Auto21.3

25.5Teleop34.1

16.2Endgame22.5

0Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	22
teleop	22	17
endgame	1	17
foul	5	0
total	43	56

Result

Final score

43 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.