Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
41.81 – 68.01
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
92 – 77
Prediction missed · off by 29.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 27.57Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 0.23Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 14.01Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 19.61Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 21.57Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 26.83Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6004, 10248, 11161
36
/ 100 compatProjected
41.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6004, 10248, 11161
Auto
13.8 35%
Teleop
18.1 46%
Endgame
7.7 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 13%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8746, 10121, 6888
45
/ 100 compatProjected
68 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8746, 10121, 6888
Auto
17.1 26%
Teleop
38.3 59%
Endgame
9.9 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 13%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score41.8pts
Blue projected score68pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 13%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -26.2
- Score range
- 23–87
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
140.7Season APEX124.3
13.8Auto17.1
18.1Teleop38.3
7.7Endgame9.9
64Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 11 |
| teleop | 56 | 30 |
| endgame | 21 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 92 | 77 |
Result
Final score
92 – 77
Prediction missed · off by 29.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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