Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
73.77 – 198.92
17%83%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
96 – 270
Prediction correct · off by 46.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 128.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 13.77Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 1.27Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 58.73Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320 ±11.1
Season APEX 265Event APEX 178.6Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32.5Event APEX 12.04Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 8.28Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3893, 10260, 5160
49
/ 100 compatProjected
73.8 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3893, 10260, 5160
Auto
21.0 29%
Teleop
30.0 41%
Endgame
21.7 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9032, 5190, 5511
79
/ 100 compatProjected
198.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9032, 5190, 5511
Auto
35.1 18%
Teleop
118.4 61%
Endgame
40.6 21%
Strengths
- · 9032 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.57 · Blue 1.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score73.8pts
Blue projected score198.9pts
Red win probability17%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 20%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -125.1
- Score range
- 55–218
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
128.1Season APEX320
21Auto35.1
30Teleop118.4
21.7Endgame40.6
35Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 41 |
| teleop | 52 | 178 |
| endgame | 20 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 96 | 270 |
Result
Final score
96 – 270
Prediction correct · off by 46.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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