Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

281.41 – 47.03

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

278 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 4.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.8 ±10

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 16.2Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8205Mind Over Metal

Season APEX 56Event APEX 31.85Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 233.36Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.9 ±11.7

7443Jag-Wires

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX -17.01Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 28.26Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 35.78Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6908, 8205, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6908, 8205, 9496

Auto

53.9 19%

Teleop

171.8 62%

Endgame

53.6 19%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7443, 11179, 2682

/ 100 compat

Projected

47 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7443, 11179, 2682

Auto

19.5 39%

Teleop

14.5 29%

Endgame

15.4 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score281.4pts

Blue projected score47pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 234.4
Score range: 28–300
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 104.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.8Season APEX262.9

53.9Auto19.5

171.8Teleop14.5

53.6Endgame15.4

35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	20
teleop	114	4
endgame	64	13
foul	30	5
total	278	42

Result

Final score

278 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 4.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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