Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
24.62 – 116.31
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
57 – 114
Prediction correct · off by 17.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 101.7 ±13.3
Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 24.74Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 3.35Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.9Event APEX -3.47Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 225.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 35.21Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 14.45Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 66.65Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5518, 5511, 10260
10
/ 100 compatProjected
24.6 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5518, 5511, 10260
Auto
15.3 74%
Teleop
6.0 29%
Endgame
-0.7 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10302, 11161, 6500
64
/ 100 compatProjected
116.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10302, 11161, 6500
Auto
20.2 18%
Teleop
68.5 60%
Endgame
25.9 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 1.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score24.6pts
Blue projected score116.3pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 15%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -91.7
- Score range
- 6–135
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
101.7Season APEX225.3
15.3Auto20.2
6Teleop68.5
-0.7Endgame25.9
31Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 21 |
| teleop | 16 | 55 |
| endgame | 14 | 23 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 57 | 114 |
Result
Final score
57 – 114
Prediction correct · off by 17.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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