Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.28 – 274.77

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.7 ±11.2

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 74.87Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 37.72Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6242Chaos Theory

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 26.69Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.3 ±9.4

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 234.91Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8205Mind Over Metal

Season APEX 56Event APEX 25.8Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8738Slice

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 14.06Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6500, 6004, 6242

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6500, 6004, 6242

Auto

10.9 8%

Teleop

72.8 53%

Endgame

53.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9496, 8205, 8738

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9496, 8205, 8738

Auto

64.9 24%

Teleop

158.4 58%

Endgame

51.2 19%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.3pts

Blue projected score274.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -135.5
Score range: 120–294
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 103.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.7Season APEX436.3

10.9Auto64.9

72.8Teleop158.4

53.9Endgame51.2

0Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	31
teleop	36	211
endgame	23	85
foul	0	0
total	85	327

Result

Final score

85 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.