Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

450.65 – 111.81

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

410 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 605.5 ±8.8

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 31.01Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 196.93Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 222.71Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215 ±11

10302Byte Force

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 32.28Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3893K-T Extinction

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 3.96Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 75.57Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6888, 9032, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

450.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6888, 9032, 9496

Auto

85.5 19%

Teleop

267.9 60%

Endgame

95.8 21%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10302, 3893, 6500

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.8 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10302, 3893, 6500

Auto

16.2 16%

Teleop

55.0 53%

Endgame

33.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score450.7pts

Blue projected score111.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 338.8
Score range: 94–469
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 518 vs event baseline 98.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

605.5Season APEX215

85.5Auto16.2

267.9Teleop55

95.8Endgame33.1

80Consistency171

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	24
teleop	271	57
endgame	29	27
foul	0	0
total	410	108

Result

Final score

410 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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