Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

69.79 – 61.85

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

46 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.9 ±12.8

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 25.01Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 43.33Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8758Tar-Robo Turtles

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 1.45Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110.8 ±13.9

7443Jag-Wires

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX -5.02Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6242Chaos Theory

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 47.6Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11161SkyForge Griffins

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 19.27Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2682, 5518, 8758

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2682, 5518, 8758

Auto

16.9 24%

Teleop

21.4 31%

Endgame

31.5 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7443, 6242, 11161

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7443, 6242, 11161

Auto

10.7 18%

Teleop

25.4 43%

Endgame

23.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.8pts

Blue projected score61.9pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.9
Score range: 43–89
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 76 vs event baseline 106.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.9Season APEX110.8

16.9Auto10.7

21.4Teleop25.4

31.5Endgame23.4

92Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	22
teleop	11	8
endgame	14	0
foul	0	0
total	46	30

Result

Final score

46 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.