Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.43 – 46.65

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

275 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.3 ±11.2

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 39.84Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11161SkyForge Griffins

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 17.58Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 172.01Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124.4 ±12.2

7443Jag-Wires

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX -17.49Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 26.59Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10302Byte Force

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 37.55Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11179, 11161, 9032

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11179, 11161, 9032

Auto

41.1 18%

Teleop

136.3 60%

Endgame

50.0 22%

Strengths

· 9032 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7443, 6908, 10302

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7443, 6908, 10302

Auto

18.1 42%

Teleop

16.4 38%

Endgame

9.1 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score229.4pts

Blue projected score46.7pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 182.8
Score range: 26–250
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 315 vs event baseline 117.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.3Season APEX124.4

41.1Auto18.1

136.3Teleop16.4

50Endgame9.1

4Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	15
teleop	157	13
endgame	63	7
foul	0	5
total	275	40

Result

Final score

275 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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