Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.84 – 118.4

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

131 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 128.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192 ±11

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 50.42Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10121TMSA MechaTiger

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX -5.65Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 20.07Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.5 ±12.4

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 17.73Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 113.47Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9296TITANium

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -12.8Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6500, 10121, 6908

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6500, 10121, 6908

Auto

12.2 19%

Teleop

32.0 51%

Endgame

18.5 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5518, 9032, 9296

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5518, 9032, 9296

Auto

28.9 25%

Teleop

61.8 54%

Endgame

24.0 21%

Strengths

· 9032 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.8pts

Blue projected score118.4pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.6
Score range: 49–134
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 88.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192Season APEX363.5

12.2Auto28.9

32Teleop61.8

18.5Endgame24

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	57
teleop	83	195
endgame	25	58
foul	10	0
total	131	310

Result

Final score

131 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 128.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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