Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
2.72 – 21.7
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
34 – 169
Prediction correct · off by 89.3 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 96.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 9.86Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 8.38Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -15.52Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX -3.95Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 17.77Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 7.88Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10121, 6908, 8758
9
/ 100 compatProjected
2.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10121, 6908, 8758
Auto
8.7 0%
Teleop
-6.4 100%
Endgame
-5.0 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5160, 6500, 10072
17
/ 100 compatProjected
21.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5160, 6500, 10072
Auto
9.7 72%
Teleop
13.1 97%
Endgame
-9.3 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score2.7pts
Blue projected score21.7pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 15%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -19
- Score range
- -14–39
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
96.5Season APEX251.6
8.7Auto9.7
-6.4Teleop13.1
-5Endgame-9.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 16 |
| teleop | 8 | 110 |
| endgame | 15 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 34 | 169 |
Result
Final score
34 – 169
Prediction correct · off by 89.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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