Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

403.84 – 173.8

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

345 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 42.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.4 ±8.8

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 174.21Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10121TMSA MechaTiger

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 5.25Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 224.38Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.7 ±11

5160Chargers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 69.28Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 27.37Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 77.15Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9032, 10121, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

403.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9032, 10121, 9496

Auto

75.5 19%

Teleop

231.6 58%

Endgame

90.3 23%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5160, 6908, 6500

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.8 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5160, 6908, 6500

Auto

25.7 15%

Teleop

97.8 58%

Endgame

44.2 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score403.8pts

Blue projected score173.8pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 230
Score range: 153–425
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 492 vs event baseline 115.6.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.4Season APEX226.7

75.5Auto25.7

231.6Teleop97.8

90.3Endgame44.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	24
teleop	194	76
endgame	101	32
foul	10	15
total	345	147

Result

Final score

345 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 42.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.