Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
140.77 – 66.88
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
111 – 73
Prediction correct · off by 17.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 63.12Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 16.68Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 60.97Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.4 ±11
Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 22.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 41.64Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 2.68Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4561, 10121, 2059
82
/ 100 compatProjected
140.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4561, 10121, 2059
Auto
31.3 23%
Teleop
76.5 56%
Endgame
27.7 20%
Strengths
- · 4561 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4861, 11179, 3459
64
/ 100 compatProjected
66.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4861, 11179, 3459
Auto
15.2 23%
Teleop
33.9 51%
Endgame
17.0 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 0.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score140.8pts
Blue projected score66.9pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 20%, blue 8%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 73.9
- Score range
- 55–153
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
385.4Season APEX143.4
31.3Auto15.2
76.5Teleop33.9
27.7Endgame17
0Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 22 |
| teleop | 31 | 30 |
| endgame | 38 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 111 | 73 |
Result
Final score
111 – 73
Prediction correct · off by 17.9 pts
Match videos
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