Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
74.49 – 61.25
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
175 – 116
Prediction correct · off by 77.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 42.63Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 19.64Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 12.22Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 30.53Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 6.27Rank 29Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 24.45Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4828, 587, 3336
67
/ 100 compatProjected
74.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4828, 587, 3336
Auto
19.4 27%
Teleop
38.0 53%
Endgame
14.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5160, 6240, 6502
58
/ 100 compatProjected
61.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5160, 6240, 6502
Auto
14.6 23%
Teleop
29.0 45%
Endgame
20.2 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.09
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score74.5pts
Blue projected score61.3pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 12%, blue 13%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 13.2
- Score range
- 49–86
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
251.5Season APEX190.9
19.4Auto14.6
38Teleop29
14.6Endgame20.2
26Consistency20
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 23 |
| teleop | 87 | 81 |
| endgame | 67 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 175 | 116 |
Result
Final score
175 – 116
Prediction correct · off by 77.6 pts
Match videos
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