Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

150.96 – 66.95

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

108 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.4 ±9.8

2059The Hitchhikers

Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 65.46Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10121TMSA MechaTiger

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 19.32Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 66.18Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.1 ±11

8738Slice

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 27.34Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 21.28Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10354Sting

Season APEX 31Event APEX 18.33Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2059, 10121, 4561

/ 100 compat

Projected

151 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2059, 10121, 4561

Auto

28.6 20%

Teleop

85.1 58%

Endgame

31.9 22%

Strengths

· 4561 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8738, 9559, 10354

/ 100 compat

Projected

67 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8738, 9559, 10354

Auto

11.1 19%

Teleop

36.0 60%

Endgame

12.7 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151pts

Blue projected score67pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84
Score range: 55–163
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 169 vs event baseline 66.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385.4Season APEX153.1

28.6Auto11.1

85.1Teleop36

31.9Endgame12.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	19
teleop	46	22
endgame	10	15
foul	5	5
total	108	61

Result

Final score

108 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.