Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.33 – 72.02

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

129 – 119

Prediction missed · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 129.2 ±11

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 21.57Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5919JoCo RoBos

Season APEX 24Event APEX 8Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10302Byte Force

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 27.76Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.4 ±11

4861Beastbots

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 24.2Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 42.54Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 5.28Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9788, 5919, 10302

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9788, 5919, 10302

Auto

14.5 26%

Teleop

27.7 50%

Endgame

13.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4861, 11179, 3459

/ 100 compat

Projected

72 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4861, 11179, 3459

Auto

17.6 25%

Teleop

36.3 51%

Endgame

17.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.3pts

Blue projected score72pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.7
Score range: 44–85
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 72.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

129.2Season APEX143.4

14.5Auto17.6

27.7Teleop36.3

13Endgame17.8

8Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	29
teleop	44	55
endgame	50	30
foul	15	5
total	129	119

Result

Final score

129 – 119

Prediction missed · off by 59.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.