Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
5.13 – 41.11
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
49 – 7
Prediction missed · off by 39 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 2.19Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.5Event APEX -6.2Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 9.14Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 1.69Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 5.71Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.4Event APEX 33.71Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9788, 6502, 10072
13
/ 100 compatProjected
5.1 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9788, 6502, 10072
Auto
9.7 100%
Teleop
-5.4 0%
Endgame
-1.1 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 11%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3459, 5160, 4816
68
/ 100 compatProjected
41.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3459, 5160, 4816
Auto
6.2 16%
Teleop
28.3 71%
Endgame
5.2 13%
Strengths
- · 4816 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 11%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score5.1pts
Blue projected score41.1pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 11%, blue 12%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -36
- Score range
- -1–47
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
197.7Season APEX143.6
9.7Auto6.2
-5.4Teleop28.3
-1.1Endgame5.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 4 |
| teleop | 27 | 3 |
| endgame | 16 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 49 | 7 |
Result
Final score
49 – 7
Prediction missed · off by 39 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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