Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.63 – 57.31

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

75 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.9 ±10.4

3229Hawktimus Prime

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 7.93Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 16.72Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 47.98Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.8 ±11.6

8738Slice

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 24.96Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9042SOARIN

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 18.48Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5919JoCo RoBos

Season APEX 24Event APEX 13.87Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3229, 3336, 4828

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3229, 3336, 4828

Auto

16.8 24%

Teleop

33.4 47%

Endgame

20.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8738, 9042, 5919

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8738, 9042, 5919

Auto

11.4 20%

Teleop

33.8 60%

Endgame

11.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.6pts

Blue projected score57.3pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.3
Score range: 43–87
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 91 vs event baseline 78.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.9Season APEX155.8

16.8Auto11.4

33.4Teleop33.8

20.3Endgame11.5

46Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	0
teleop	33	15
endgame	33	1
foul	0	0
total	75	16

Result

Final score

75 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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