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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FNC District Wake County Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

74.12 – 20.38

66%34%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

87 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 318.5 ±9.8
3336Zimanators
D
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 12.2Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
9559EagleTron
D
Season APEX 39Event APEX 22.08Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4795Eastbots
A
Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 39.84Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153 ±11.7
10072WhirlyBots
D
Season APEX 52.5Event APEX -2.58Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
11353Visionary Sparks
D
Season APEX 42Event APEX 6.29Rank 22Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
10302Byte Force
D
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 16.67Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3336, 9559, 4795
66
/ 100 compat
Projected
74.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3336, 9559, 4795
Auto
10.4 15%
Teleop
36.5 54%
Endgame
20.3 30%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10072, 11353, 10302
15
/ 100 compat
Projected
20.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10072, 11353, 10302
Auto
16.8 76%
Teleop
4.4 20%
Endgame
1.0 5%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 0.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score74.1pts
Blue projected score20.4pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 15%, blue 5%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
53.7
Score range
8–86
Upset likelihood
34%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match
High scoring

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 64.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

318.5Season APEX153
10.4Auto16.8
36.5Teleop4.4
20.3Endgame1
0Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1118
teleop4446
endgame3219
foul00
total8783

Result

Final score

87 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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