Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.29 – 73.47

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.4 ±12.2

435Robodogs

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 0.28Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4861Beastbots

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 23.48Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10121TMSA MechaTiger

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 20.53Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.9 ±10.5

9042SOARIN

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 18.21Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8429Valence Robotics

Season APEX 186.7Event APEX 31.57Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6502DARC SIDE

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 23.69Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 435, 4861, 10121

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 435, 4861, 10121

Auto

10.6 25%

Teleop

19.4 46%

Endgame

12.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9042, 8429, 6502

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9042, 8429, 6502

Auto

16.2 21%

Teleop

44.8 59%

Endgame

14.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.3pts

Blue projected score73.5pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.2
Score range: 33–84
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 63.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

123.4Season APEX333.9

10.6Auto16.2

19.4Teleop44.8

12.1Endgame14.6

78Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	23
teleop	28	80
endgame	13	37
foul	0	0
total	54	140

Result

Final score

54 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.