Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.91 – 81.55

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 89.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.1 ±11

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 34.77Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5919JoCo RoBos

Season APEX 24Event APEX -2.88Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

587The Hedgehogs

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 14.02Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325.3 ±9.8

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 16.01Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 56.88Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 8.66Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4828, 5919, 587

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4828, 5919, 587

Auto

17.0 38%

Teleop

16.1 36%

Endgame

11.2 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9559, 4561, 9788

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9559, 4561, 9788

Auto

17.2 24%

Teleop

37.9 52%

Endgame

17.1 24%

Strengths

· 4561 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.9pts

Blue projected score81.6pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.6
Score range: 35–93
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 61.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.1Season APEX325.3

17Auto17.2

16.1Teleop37.9

11.2Endgame17.1

48Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	31
teleop	65	94
endgame	30	27
foul	0	30
total	125	182

Result

Final score

125 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 89.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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