Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

41.71 – 48.01

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 121.7 ±11.6

9042SOARIN

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 17.73Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11353Visionary Sparks

Season APEX 42Event APEX 9.35Rank 22Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10354Sting

Season APEX 31Event APEX 14.63Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.1 ±10.4

10302Byte Force

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 15.59Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 5.81Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5160Chargers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 26.61Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9042, 11353, 10354

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9042, 11353, 10354

Auto

19.9 48%

Teleop

14.4 34%

Endgame

7.5 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10302, 9788, 5160

/ 100 compat

Projected

48 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10302, 9788, 5160

Auto

11.5 25%

Teleop

19.8 43%

Endgame

15.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score41.7pts

Blue projected score48pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 8%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.3
Score range: 31–59
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 59.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

121.7Season APEX174.1

19.9Auto11.5

14.4Teleop19.8

7.5Endgame15

45Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	14
teleop	29	37
endgame	11	39
foul	0	0
total	54	90

Result

Final score

54 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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